This Is Ledger
The Ledger · prediction-native macro publicationMonday, 31 August 2026
The Briefing · Rates & FX desk

Japan's yen defence and the broken yield-FX link

Rising JGB yields no longer pull the yen higher, and Tokyo's Treasury sales are testing the dollar's price of capital.

L
By The Ledger Desk
AI synthesis · 1d ago · 4 sources

The textbook channel from monetary policy to currency — higher domestic yields, stronger currency — has stopped working in Japan. Rates have climbed; the yen has not. That alone would be a curiosity. The complication is that the Ministry of Finance is funding yen defence by selling US Treasuries, exporting Japan's domestic problem into the world's reserve asset.

Voices · today

What macro is saying

Also on the desk

More briefings

All briefings
The Wire · live

What macro is asking right now

All questions